- Another candidate, Rick Rieder has risen through the rankings to become the frontrunner for Fed chair after receiving public praise from the President.
- Unlike his rivals, the BlackRock executive brings a purely market-focused background.
- Market traders on Polymarket now give Rieder a 35% to 59% chance of being selected to replace Jerome Powell in May.
The race for the top spot at the central bank has taken a turn this week. BlackRock executive Rick Rieder is now the leading choice to become the next Federal Reserve chair.
This change happened quickly after President Donald Trump publicly praised him during a global economic summit.
Investors and political analysts are now paying close attention because the decision will affect the global economy for the next few years.
Rick Rieder Gains Ground in Race for Fed Chair Position
The rise of a BlackRock Chief Investment Officer has caught many by surprise.
Just a week ago, his chances on prediction platforms like Polymarket were in the single digits. Now, his odds have climbed as high as 59%. He has also overtaken Kevin Warsh, who was the previous favourite for the job.
So far, other finalists include Kevin Hassett and Chris Waller, but Rieder seems to have the most recent momentum right now.
what an interesting reversal in the market over who trump will nominate as fed chair
rick rieder went from just a 1% chance on dec 15 to leading the market at 52% now
as his odds surged, the top 5 positions in this market exploded too
together, the top five traders are holding… pic.twitter.com/m8izIMqJVN
— Saurav (@0x_saurav) January 24, 2026
One reason for this surge is his outsider status. Most Fed leaders come from within the central bank or academic circles, but Rieder has never worked at the Federal Reserve.
This makes him appear less tied to the old ways of doing things and President Trump has often criticised the current leadership for not moving fast enough on interest rates.
So, according to speculators, an outsider like Rieder might be more willing to overhaul the institution.
A Different Background for a Central Banker
His career at BlackRock involves managing more than 11 trillion in assets.
He also understands how money flows through the global system better than almost anyone. This practical experience is what makes him stand out to the current administration.
Investors also view him as a “pragmatic operator” because he knows how liquidity works in the real world. This makes him different from many other economists. His work with the BlackRock ETF expansion also shows that he understands modern financial tools.
This includes digital assets (crypto and NFTs) alongside new ways of trading that are changing the industry.
The Response From the Investment Community
The reaction from Wall Street has been largely positive. Bond market participants seem to like the idea of one of their own at the helm and when White House officials asked for feedback, many investors spoke highly of his skills.
They also seem to see him as someone who can balance growth with financial stability.
FED CHAIR FLIPPENING ON POLYMARKET
Rick Rieder just went vertical from single digits to leading the race for Fed Chair
The markets are pricing in a BlackRock takeover of the Federal Reserve after Trump's latest signal.
Rick Rieder has surged to a 50% probability to become the… pic.twitter.com/z3s2E2eJRS
— BuBBliK (@k1rallik) January 24, 2026
Crypto traders are also watching this closely. BlackRock runs the largest Bitcoin ETF in the world. This gives people hope that Rieder would be open to financial innovation. He has also spoken about the importance of regulating digital assets in a way that helps the market grow.
This stance makes him a popular choice for those who want to see more tech in finance.
Policy Goals and Possible Changes
If he gets the job, Rieder might focus on making the Fed more transparent. He reportedly has many ideas for overhauling how the bank operates and some reports even show that he wants to rethink how the Fed communicates with the public.
He is even one of the economists who believes that the central bank should be more responsive to market signals.
His views on interest rates are also a major factor in this decision, because he often discusses the need for rates that support a healthy economy without causing too much inflation.
Since the President wants lower rates to help businesses, Rieder’s market-based approach fits that goal and he would likely move away from the rigid structures that the Fed currently uses today.
