Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $10.5B as Binance USDT Data Signals Weak Demand
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Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $10.5B as Binance USDT Data Signals Weak Demand

By Samuel

Bitcoin ETFs hit record drawdown with $10.5B in outflows. Binance USDT data shows liquidity gaps as BTC trades near $62K

Bitcoin is under pressure. ETF holders are sitting on losses, stablecoin liquidity at Binance is shrinking, and on-chain analysts are flagging warning signs. 

BTC traded at $62,818 at press time, per CoinGecko, up 2.70% in 24 hours but down 1.83% over seven days. Volume sat at roughly $30 billion. 

The broader picture, however, tells a more cautious story.

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Bitcoin ETF Drawdown Hits Record Territory

On-chain analyst Darkfost flagged a grim milestone for Bitcoin ETF investors. 

The estimated cost basis for ETF holders currently sits around $72,400. With BTC trading near $62,000, that puts unrealized losses at roughly 14% across the ETF cohort.

Since capital invested in Bitcoin ETFs peaked, the sector has entered its deepest drawdown on record. Darkfost reported that an estimated $10.5 billion has exited Bitcoin ETFs since October 12. That figure underscores how weak demand remains in the current market.

This is the first real bear market test for Bitcoin ETFs since their launch. The scale of capital flight is notable, and analysts say it reflects broader investor caution rather than any single trigger.

Binance USDT Liquidity Points to Consolidation

CryptoQuant analyst Crazzyblockk published a detailed breakdown of stablecoin conditions at Binance. The exchange holds roughly $41.2 billion in USDT across ERC-20 and TRC-20 chains. That number, however, has been declining.

The ERC-20 book shed 2.3% over the past 30 days. It now sits at the 23.5th percentile of its 30-day range. 

Combined 30-day netflows across both chains total approximately negative $1.27 billion. The reserve remains nearly 12.4% below its December 2025 peak of $43.9 billion.

Late May saw ERC-20 flows reach their most intense outflow levels of the current cycle. 

Binance USDT liquidity signals consolidation, not recovery
Binance USDT liquidity signals consolidation, not recovery, Source| CryptoQuant

The 7-day moving average of netflows dropped to negative $215 million. That pressure eased in early June, with the MA7 briefly flipping to positive $120 million on June 5 before cooling to neutral by June 8.

“Until Binance’s USDT reserve reclaims its 30-day average with sustained positive daily flows, the liquidity foundation for a BTC recovery remains incomplete,” Crazzyblockk wrote. 

The analyst added that the market is stabilizing but not yet reloading.

BTC Price Faces Key Support Levels at $60K

Analyst Rekt Capital pointed to what he called possible seller exhaustion around the $60,000 zone. Bitcoin recently crashed into the $60,000 historical demand area on high sell-side volume. 

Rekt Capital noted that previous crashes on high seller volume in this bear market preceded short-term local bottoms before further macro downside.

He flagged the February 2026 lows as the most critical level to watch. If those lows act as resistance, the $60,000 support may not hold for long. A short-term bounce is possible, but Rekt Capital said the price is likely to break down to new 2026 lows over time.

Across other exchanges, the pattern mirrors Binance. OKX, Bybit, and Bitfinex are all in mild distribution on a 30-day basis. KuCoin and Bitget show some accumulation on TRC-20, but their combined reserve of roughly $465 million limits the weight of that signal.

Samuel

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Samuel

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