BTC and ETH mirror 2022 pattern with 50W EMA loss and sharp drop, but 2025–26 cycle shows faster price compression.
Bitcoin and Ethereum price charts are drawing comparisons to the 2022 market cycle, as analysts review current technical structures.
Recent data suggests both assets may be following a similar sequence, though the timeline appears compressed.
BTC and ETH Flash 2022 Setup: Is a Quick Bottom Coming?
Market analysts note that Bitcoin appears to be tracking a pattern seen in 2022.
The structure shows a market top followed by a loss of the 50-week exponential moving average.
After that breakdown, price action accelerated to the downside before forming a bottom.
Ethereum is showing a comparable formation on higher time frames. Analysts report that ETH also lost its 50-week EMA after peaking.
The sequence of events aligns with the prior cycle, including a sharp corrective phase.
While $BTC seems to be walking a very similar path to 2022,
I went back and checked $ETH too.
And honestly… the structure looks pretty close.
Not saying it’s some perfect fractal, but the sequence lines up quite clean:
top → loss of 50W EMA → aggressive dump → bottom.… https://t.co/Bft1VeGD6k pic.twitter.com/teaSU7nEEJ
— Axel Bitblaze 🪓 (@Axel_bitblaze69) February 20, 2026
One market observer said the setup is not a “perfect fractal,” but the sequence “lines up quite clean.”
The pattern includes a top, a key moving average loss, and an aggressive decline. Such technical formations often attract attention from traders monitoring historical trends.
50-Week EMA Breakdown and Market Structure
The 50-week EMA is widely used as a long-term trend indicator. When price moves below this level, it can signal weakening momentum. Both BTC and ETH have recently traded beneath this key threshold.
During the 2021–2022 cycle, the loss of the 50-week EMA preceded deeper corrections.
The same sequence appears to be unfolding again. Traders are analyzing whether this breakdown will follow a similar duration.
Technical analysts emphasize that moving averages do not predict exact outcomes. However, repeated structures can provide reference points.
The alignment between the two cycles has increased discussion across crypto trading communities.
Related Reading: BTC, ETH, BNB, DOGE Liquidations Signal Big Move Ahead: Analysis
Faster Cycle May Lead to Faster Bottom
One key difference between the current cycle and 2021–2022 is speed. The 2025–2026 rally and topping phase developed more rapidly than the prior bull market.
Price appreciation and distribution occurred within a shorter time frame.
If the upward move was compressed, some analysts suggest the corrective phase could also be shorter.
The idea is based on time symmetry within market cycles. Faster expansions can sometimes be followed by faster contractions.
Still, no confirmation of a bottom has emerged. Bitcoin and Ethereum remain subject to broader macroeconomic and liquidity conditions.
Traders continue to monitor weekly closes, moving averages, and volume data to assess whether the pattern will complete with a quicker base formation than in 2022.
