Back-to-back USDT declines and muted ETF inflows signal tighter liquidity and fragile Bitcoin momentum.
Apex stablecoin issuer Tether is shrinking for a second straight month as crypto liquidty continues to tighten. A contraction in stablecoin supply often signals capital leaving exchanges. And combined with soft ETF demand, momentum across major tokens appears fragile.
Tether Shrinks to $183.6B as Stablecoin Outflows Signal Market Caution
Tether’s market capitalization has fallen 0.8% to $183.61 billion in February, according to market data. January already saw a 1% drop from a record $186.84 billion. Back-to-back monthly declines have not occurred since the 2022 collapse of TerraForm Labs, which shook confidence in stablecoins and erased billions in market value.
Rachael Lucas, a crypto analyst at BTC Markets, said stablecoins act as fuel for digital asset trading. When supply contracts, trading activity, and risk appetite tend to weaken. Ongoing decline in USDT suggests capital is moving out rather than preparing for new allocations.
For the uninitiated, stablecoins are digital tokens pegged to fiat currencies. Traders use them to park funds without leaving crypto exchanges. Over time, they have become core settlement assets for trading, cross-border transfers, and even daily payments in some regions.
Current stablecoin data carries several implications:
- The USDT market cap has declined for two consecutive months
- A similar contraction last appeared during the 2022 bear market stress.
- Capital outflows often follow a shrinking stablecoin supply.
- Spot Bitcoin ETF demand in the U.S. remains muted.
- Liquidity conditions look weaker across major exchanges.
Bitcoin Rallies Lack Depth as ETF Demand and Stablecoin Expansion Weaken
Bitcoin has struggled in the past months. In fact, the OG coin has mounted several failed attempts to steady above the $70K mark. Instead, selling pressure returned and pushed BTC back below $67,000. As a result, both institutional and retail investors are still cautious.
Image Source: TradingView
Soft flows into U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs add to headwinds. Tepid inflows suggest limited fresh capital entering the market. Without stronger demand from both ETFs and stablecoins, rallies may lack depth.
USDC, issued by Circle, has shown more stability than Tether. Market capitalization has recovered to nearly $75 billion from a January dip near $70 billion. Year-to-date growth, however, remains flat.
In the past, growth in stablecoin supply has often come before major crypto rallies. When more stablecoins enter the market, liquidity increases and prices tend to rise. On the other hand, when supply shrinks for an extended period, markets usually move sideways or trend lower.
