HomeBitcoin NewsBitcoin Price Analysis: BTC At Risk of a Larger Breakdown

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC At Risk of a Larger Breakdown

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  • Bitcoin price failed to surpass the $10,800 resistance and declined against the US Dollar.
  • The price is now trading well below the $10,800 resistance and the 55 SMA (H4).
  • There is a major breakout pattern forming with support near $10,540 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Coinbase).
  • The pair is likely to decline sharply if there is a break below the $10,540 and $10,500 support levels.

Bitcoin price is currently showing a few bearish signs below $10,700 against the US Dollar. BTC remains at a risk of a larger decline if it breaks the $10,540 support.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

In the past few days, bitcoin price started a decent recovery wave above $10,600 against the US Dollar. BTC was able to climb above the $10,700 level and the 55 simple moving average (4-hours).

However, the price struggled to clear the $10,800 resistance level. There was a sharp bearish reaction from the $10,798 high and the price declined below the $10,700 level. The price even broke the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $10,370 swing low to $10,798 high.

The price is now trading well below the $10,800 resistance and the 55 SMA (H4). On the downside, there is a strong support forming near the $10,540 level. There is also a major breakout pattern forming with support near $10,540 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair.

The 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $10,370 swing low to $10,798 high is also near the $10,540 support zone. If there is a downside break below the triangle support and $10,540, there is a risk of a larger decline.

In the stated case, the price could revisit the $10,370 swing low. The next major support could be $10,270 level since it is close to the 1.236 Fib extension level of the upward move from the $10,370 swing low to $10,798 high.

Conversely, bitcoin price might start a fresh increase above the $10,650 and $10,700 levels. To move into a positive zone, the price must gain momentum above the triangle resistance and the $10,800 level.

Bitcoin Price
Bitcoin Price

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price is clearly struggling to stay above $10,540 and it is well below the 55 SMA (H4). Therefore, the price is likely to decline sharply if there is a break below the $10,540 and $10,500 support levels.

Technical indicators

4 hours MACD – The MACD is struggling to gain pace in the bearish zone.

4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is now well below the 50 level.

Key Support Levels – $10,540 and $10,500.

Key Resistance Levels – $10,700, $10,800 and $11,000.

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Aayush Jindal
Aayush Jindal
Aayush has spent over seven years as a financial markets contributor and observer. He specializes in market strategies and technical analysis, comes with an IT background. He possess strong technical analytical skills and is well known for his entertaining and informative analysis of the currency and commodities markets. He is a software engineer by profession, loves blogging and observing financial markets.

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